Forex, which is an abbreviation for the phrase “foreign exchange,” has to do with the accurate and timely calculation of the rate of exchange between any two national currencies. Forex impacts the lives of a number of persons daily. Here are a few examples of how forex works in various scenarios.
Because so many different factors impact the worth of the currency of any country, having a more or less stable procedure for evaluating the current worth of one currency to another allows commerce to continue uninterrupted on a global scale. For example, a country that is going through a period where it is importing more than it is exporting may see the value of its currency, and thus the forex rate, suffer on the world market. At the same time, the election or appointment of new governmental figures can either enhance or dilute the worth of a country’s currency in comparison to other countries, based on how those new government officials are perceived by the world community. Natural disasters are another example of a condition that can impact the value of currency as determine by the foreign exchange rate. Simply put, a country that sustains major damage to its exported goods and services will see their currency decrease in value in comparison to other countries.
The balance of trade between any two countries can also have an impact on the rate of exchange between two countries. Ideally, the trade balance will consistently remain within a range that is acceptable to the two countries. This would result in a forex rate that would only vary slightly from one period to the next. Sudden changes in the balance of trade would result in a marked change in the forex rate, which may be good for one of the countries, but not for both.
How does forex impact the individual? The current foreign exchange rate will have an immediate impact on anyone who travels to another country for business or pleasure. Based on the current rate of exchange, one may find that the travel funds will buy more or buy less in the way of goods and services. At the same time, an individual does not have to leave his or her home country to experience the effects of a substantial chance in the foreign exchange rate. Goods and services that are supplied by foreign vendors will suddenly cost more, because of the change to the forex rate, leaving the consumer to make up the difference in cost by adjusting the home budget accordingly.
Forex changes can be positive or negative for any given country and its citizens, depending on the circumstances. One important factor to note is that forex is in a constant state of flux, which means that if you are not happy with the rate of exchange today, you can anticipate some difference in the forex a month from now.
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Jumat, 04 Desember 2009
Analysis in Forex
Fundamental Analysis refers to the study of the core underlying elements that influence the economy of a particular entity. As in Forex trading, government policies, bank policies, natural disasters, and speculators mood are some of the fundamentals considered to predict the currency market trends. Fundamental FOREX traders will review a country economy's situation base on these fundamental elements and respond accordingly. To gain max, fundamentalists often apply precise method to convert study's results into accurate entry/exit price indicator.
Technical Analysis, on the other hand, is a completely different story. Instead of reviewing on the fundamental issues, traders from the technical side define market movement according to data purely generated from the market. The term 'Technical' is applied in all trading fields, from commodity stocks exchange to option trading, from Forex to futures.
Generally, the purpose of technical analysis is to find potential price reversal or pivotal points. These points basically refer the change of market trends, which then indicates when to enter or exit from the market. It is important to know that as with any other techniques in your trading system, these technical analysis indicators could be used alone or with other indicators. Traders are always recommended to learn more different technical methods to analyze different market data because none of these techniques are 100% accurate and 100% foolproof. Taking example of the 'price' data and the 'time' data, which are widely used by FOREX trader.
There are some techniques consider solely on the 'price' factor, while some solely rely on the 'time' factor. The fact is if you know both technical methods, you can take both price and time into consideration during estimating market future trends. This will of course then reduce the risks of losing money in Forex market. Also, it would be wise if traders combine both technical and fundamental techniques when trading Forex, as a country currency value depends a lot on fundamental variables such as war, change of national leaders, terrorism attacks, as well as natural disasters.
Technical Analysis, on the other hand, is a completely different story. Instead of reviewing on the fundamental issues, traders from the technical side define market movement according to data purely generated from the market. The term 'Technical' is applied in all trading fields, from commodity stocks exchange to option trading, from Forex to futures.
Generally, the purpose of technical analysis is to find potential price reversal or pivotal points. These points basically refer the change of market trends, which then indicates when to enter or exit from the market. It is important to know that as with any other techniques in your trading system, these technical analysis indicators could be used alone or with other indicators. Traders are always recommended to learn more different technical methods to analyze different market data because none of these techniques are 100% accurate and 100% foolproof. Taking example of the 'price' data and the 'time' data, which are widely used by FOREX trader.
There are some techniques consider solely on the 'price' factor, while some solely rely on the 'time' factor. The fact is if you know both technical methods, you can take both price and time into consideration during estimating market future trends. This will of course then reduce the risks of losing money in Forex market. Also, it would be wise if traders combine both technical and fundamental techniques when trading Forex, as a country currency value depends a lot on fundamental variables such as war, change of national leaders, terrorism attacks, as well as natural disasters.
Why should you trade forex market?
Simply said, no other trading instrument comes even closely to forex market when it comes to liquidity, 24hr market environment and last but not the least, profit potential.
Forex (currency) market is the largest (most liquid) financial market in the world, with an average daily volume of more than US$ 1.5 trillion, which is more than all of the global equity markets combined.
Forex trading day starts in Wellington, New Zealand followed by Sydney, Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore. Three hours later trading day begins in Dubai (UAE) and other Middle Eastern countries. In couple of hours they are followed by Frankfurt, Zurich, Paris, Rome… London is the last one to open in Europe and five hours later it is followed by New York, Chicago and finally the West Coast. The busiest hours are early European mornings because at that time major Asian exchanges are still open and European afternoons because at that time major US markets are open at the same time as Europe. Therefore, wherever you live and whatever your work hours are you can always find some time to participate in forex trading as opposed to stock market where you are usually limited to the regular business hours.
Another property of forex market that makes it an excellent trading instrument is use of leverage. Many beginning traders don’t fully understand the concept of leverage. Basically, if you have a start up capital of $5,000 and if you trade on a 1:50 margin you can effectively control a capital of $250,000. However, a two percent move against you and your capital is completely wiped out.
If you are a beginning trader you should not use more than 1:20 margin until you get comfortable and profitable and then and only then you can attempt to use higher margins. What does 1:20 margin mean? It means that with your $5,000 you will control a capital of $100,000. Let’s say you are trading EUR/USD and by using our entry strategy you have decided to enter the trade on a long side. That means that you are betting that USD will depreciate against Euro. Let’s say current EUR/USD rate is 1.305. Again, if your trading capital is $5,000 and you are using 1:20 leverage you will effectively be exchanging $100,000 to Euros. If the current rate is 1.305 you will receive 100,000/1.305 = 76,628 Euros. If the trade goes in your direction the margin will work in your favour and 1% decline in USD will mean 20% increase in your start up capital. So if EUR/USD rate moves from 1.305 to 1.318 you will be able to exchange your 76,628 Euros back to $101,000 for a profit of $1,000. Since your start up capital was $5,000 it is effectively a 20% increase in your account. However, if the trade went against you and USD appreciated 1% vs. Euro your account would be reduced to $4,000. That would not have happened as our strategy has built in hard stops to prevent such outcome.
And the third and equally important property of forex market is the fact that trends in forex market last longer and are more clearly defined than in any other trading instrument.
Forex (currency) market is the largest (most liquid) financial market in the world, with an average daily volume of more than US$ 1.5 trillion, which is more than all of the global equity markets combined.
Forex trading day starts in Wellington, New Zealand followed by Sydney, Australia, Hong Kong and Singapore. Three hours later trading day begins in Dubai (UAE) and other Middle Eastern countries. In couple of hours they are followed by Frankfurt, Zurich, Paris, Rome… London is the last one to open in Europe and five hours later it is followed by New York, Chicago and finally the West Coast. The busiest hours are early European mornings because at that time major Asian exchanges are still open and European afternoons because at that time major US markets are open at the same time as Europe. Therefore, wherever you live and whatever your work hours are you can always find some time to participate in forex trading as opposed to stock market where you are usually limited to the regular business hours.
Another property of forex market that makes it an excellent trading instrument is use of leverage. Many beginning traders don’t fully understand the concept of leverage. Basically, if you have a start up capital of $5,000 and if you trade on a 1:50 margin you can effectively control a capital of $250,000. However, a two percent move against you and your capital is completely wiped out.
If you are a beginning trader you should not use more than 1:20 margin until you get comfortable and profitable and then and only then you can attempt to use higher margins. What does 1:20 margin mean? It means that with your $5,000 you will control a capital of $100,000. Let’s say you are trading EUR/USD and by using our entry strategy you have decided to enter the trade on a long side. That means that you are betting that USD will depreciate against Euro. Let’s say current EUR/USD rate is 1.305. Again, if your trading capital is $5,000 and you are using 1:20 leverage you will effectively be exchanging $100,000 to Euros. If the current rate is 1.305 you will receive 100,000/1.305 = 76,628 Euros. If the trade goes in your direction the margin will work in your favour and 1% decline in USD will mean 20% increase in your start up capital. So if EUR/USD rate moves from 1.305 to 1.318 you will be able to exchange your 76,628 Euros back to $101,000 for a profit of $1,000. Since your start up capital was $5,000 it is effectively a 20% increase in your account. However, if the trade went against you and USD appreciated 1% vs. Euro your account would be reduced to $4,000. That would not have happened as our strategy has built in hard stops to prevent such outcome.
And the third and equally important property of forex market is the fact that trends in forex market last longer and are more clearly defined than in any other trading instrument.
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